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How many copies did SkateBIRD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–32k
$107k–$287k after Steam's cut $194k–$442k before Steam's cut
from 783 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SkateBIRD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SkateBIRD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–26.7M
best case 129.3M (Terraria)
Games like SkateBIRD

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–26.7M copies

≈ $4k–$107.4M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Terraria at ≈ 98.5M–160.1M copies, ≈ $270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 8k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (6 of 8) and Sandbox (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

BMX The Game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$102k–$274k after Steam's cut $185k–$421k before Steam's cut
$24.99
597 reviews
Mixed
BMXSports
Terraria
2011
Est. copies
≈ 98.5M–160.1M
1312x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut $492.0M–$1119.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.6M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 80.0M–130.1M
1067x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
Session: Skate Sim
2022
Est. copies
≈ 394k–640k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$17.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
SkateboardingSports
GRINDSHIFT
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$112 before Steam's cut
$3.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
ActionAdventure
cheapskate
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$4.99
84 reviews
Very Positive
SportsAction
JUST SKATEBOARD
2024
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$204–$551 after Steam's cut $371–$847 before Steam's cut
$5.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
SimulationSports
STORROR Parkour Pro
2025
Est. copies
≈ 44k–72k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$303k–$815k after Steam's cut $551k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessParkour

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