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How big is Trendpoker 3D: Free Online Poker?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 4k–6k
from 153 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Trendpoker 3D: Free Online Poker and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Trendpoker 3D: Free Online Poker's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 109k–615k
best case 803k (Poker Night at the Inventory (2010 Original Version))
Games like Trendpoker 3D: Free Online Poker

A typical game among these

≈ 109k–615k copies

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Poker Night at the Inventory (2010 Original Version) at ≈ 612k–995k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 45 reviews in their first month; the range was 16 to 101.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (6 of 8) and Gambling (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Comedy.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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1.5x vs typical
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Poker Night at the Inventory (2010 Original Version)
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