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How many copies did HANGMAN II sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$284–$762 after Steam's cut $516–$1k before Steam's cut
from 42 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid HANGMAN II and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HANGMAN II's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 146–2k
best case 512k (Cyber Manhunt)
Games like HANGMAN II

A typical game among these

≈ 146–2k copies

≈ $160–$993 after Steam's cut

from ~11 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Cyber Manhunt at ≈ 390k–634k copies, ≈ $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 5k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Horror (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Puzzle, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry RPG + Hacking + Mystery; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Cyber Manhunt
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1430x vs typical
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Evil Spirits
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HANGMAN
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Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
5.1x vs typical
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$439–$1k after Steam's cut $798–$2k before Steam's cut
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LONGEYED PROJ
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CasualConversation
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