How much revenue did Arcane Waters make?

Arcane Waters is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Arcane Waters sell?

Q: How many copies did Arcane Waters sell?

4k to 7k copies, based on its 172 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–7k; from 172 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Arcane Waters out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arcane Waters's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 42.3M–100.4M

best case 133.0M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)

Games like Arcane Waters

The middle of these games

≈ 42.3M–100.4M copies

≈ $427.5M–$790.9M after Steam's cut

from ~1.2M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.4M–164.7M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 251k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 40k to 347k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Co-op (3 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Crime. The breakout hits carry Crime + Automobile Sim + Mature; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Terraria 2011	Est. copies ≈ 98.2M–159.6M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $269.8M–$725.3M after Steam's cut $490.5M–$1115.8M before the cut	$9.99	1.6M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSandbox
Rust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42.4M–68.9M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut $847.6M–$1928.4M before the cut	$39.99	1.4M reviews Very Positive	SurvivalCrafting
HELLDIVERS™ 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 28.8M–46.8M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $316.7M–$851.6M after Steam's cut $575.9M–$1310.1M before the cut	$39.99	1.2M reviews Mostly Positive	Online Co-OpPvE
Phasmophobia 2020	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.8M too small to compare SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.4M–$307.5M after Steam's cut $207.9M–$473.1M before the cut	$19.99	839k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
Garry's Mod 2006	Est. copies ≈ 79.8M–129.6M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $219.1M–$589.2M after Steam's cut $398.4M–$906.5M before the cut	$9.99	1.3M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxModdable
ELDEN RING 2022	Est. copies ≈ 28.6M–46.4M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $471.3M–$1267.1M after Steam's cut $856.9M–$1949.4M before the cut	$59.99	1.2M reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeOpen World
Left 4 Dead 2 2009	Est. copies ≈ 66.8M–108.6M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $183.6M–$493.6M after Steam's cut $333.8M–$759.4M before the cut	$9.99	1.1M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesCo-op
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy 2015	Est. copies ≈ 101.4M–164.7M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.1M reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction