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How many copies did Ultimate ADOM - Caverns of Chaos sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–21k
$70k–$187k after Steam's cut $126k–$288k before Steam's cut
from 510 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ultimate ADOM - Caverns of Chaos and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ultimate ADOM - Caverns of Chaos's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 433k–924k
best case 679k (Old School RuneScape)
Games like Ultimate ADOM - Caverns of Chaos

A typical game among these

≈ 433k–924k copies

≈ $2.4M–$7.0M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Old School RuneScape at ≈ 517k–840k copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (7 of 8) and Party-Based RPG (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with MMORPG + Nostalgia.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Baldur's Gate II: Enhanced Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 693k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.2M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
RPGDungeons & Dragons
Icewind Dale: Enhanced Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 207k–337k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
RPGDungeons & Dragons
RIFT
2011
Est. copies
≈ 736k–1.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMMORPG
Mortal Online 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 345k–561k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.2M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
14k reviews
Mixed
MMORPGSandbox
Legend of Grimrock
2012
Est. copies
≈ 426k–692k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
FATE
2013
Est. copies
≈ 283k–460k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$623k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$7.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Old School RuneScape
2021
Est. copies
≈ 517k–840k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
21k reviews
Very Positive
MMORPGFree to Play
Baldur's Gate: Enhanced Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$16.9M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$26.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
RPGFantasy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.