How much revenue did FATE make?

$623k–$1.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did FATE sell?

Q: How many copies did FATE sell?

283k to 460k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 283k–460k; $623k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FATE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FATE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.4M–5.9M

best case 20.7M (Path of Exile)

Games like FATE

A typical game among these

≈ 3.4M–5.9M copies

≈ $25.2M–$53.6M after Steam's cut

from ~104k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action RPG (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Path of Exile at ≈ 15.8M–25.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 74k reviews in their first month; the range was 17k to 102k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action RPG (4 of 8) and Hack and Slash (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action RPG + Hack and Slash, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry MMORPG + Dark Fantasy + Action RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Grim Dawn 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.6M–7.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $31.4M–$84.5M after Steam's cut $57.2M–$130.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	110k reviews Very Positive	Action RPGHack and Slash
Trove 2015	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	93k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayOpen World
Gunfire Reborn 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	104k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-lite FPS
The Binding of Isaac 2011	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.5M too small to compare SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut	$4.99	63k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Noita 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PhysicsRogue-like
Last Epoch 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $28.3M–$76.0M after Steam's cut $51.4M–$116.9M before Steam's cut	$34.99	118k reviews Mostly Positive	Action RPGLoot
Path of Exile 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut $84.3M–$191.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	227k reviews Mostly Positive	Action RPGHack and Slash
Path of Exile 2013	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.7M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	250k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayDark Fantasy