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How big is Linda & Joan Prologue: “Four Months Earlier”?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 1k–2k
from 48 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Linda & Joan Prologue: “Four Months Earlier” and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Linda & Joan Prologue: “Four Months Earlier”'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–2.8M
best case 8.6M (Detroit: Become Human)
Games like Linda & Joan Prologue: “Four Months Earlier”

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–2.8M copies

≈ $16.9M–$25.9M after Steam's cut

from ~54k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Detroit: Become Human at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Emotional (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Multiple Endings + Futuristic + Robots; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

A Plague Tale: Innocence
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$23.1M–$62.1M after Steam's cut $42.0M–$95.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAdventure
Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.0M–$29.5M after Steam's cut $20.0M–$45.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
54k reviews
Very Positive
EmotionalStory Rich
Life is Strange: True Colors
2021
Est. copies
≈ 419k–681k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Detroit: Become Human
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut $131.1M–$298.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
264k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
The Walking Dead: Season Two
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesAdventure
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
To the Moon
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
87k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichGreat Soundtrack
Beyond: Two Souls
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureChoices Matter

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