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How many copies did Dodo Adventures sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$244–$660 after Steam's cut $444–$1k before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dodo Adventures and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dodo Adventures's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 863–2k
best case 18.7M (DayZ)
Games like Dodo Adventures

A typical game among these

≈ 863–2k copies

≈ $1k–$53k after Steam's cut

from ~34 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: DayZ at ≈ 14.3M–23.2M copies, ≈ $196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 207.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (6 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Survival + Open World + Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.3M–23.2M
13819x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
470k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Dinosaur Fossil Hunter: Prologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 18k–28k
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
706 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAdventure
Backrooms: Partygoers
2024
Est. copies
≈ 843–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$11.99
34 reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorSingleplayer
Get Over Blood
2020
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut
$199.99
21 reviews
Negative
Action RoguelikeExploration
Bookstore Simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$544–$1k after Steam's cut $989–$2k before Steam's cut
$9.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
SimulationCasual
Taxi Simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$668–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$0.99
99 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessCasual
Rawbots
2022
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32 reviews
Mixed
AdventureSimulation
Bicycle Challenge - Wastelands
2022
Est. copies
≈ 843–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$46k–$125k after Steam's cut $84k–$192k before Steam's cut
$199.99
34 reviews
Mixed
Choose Your Own Adventure3D Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.