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How many copies did This Means Warp sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–27k
$92k–$248k after Steam's cut $168k–$381k before Steam's cut
from 676 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid This Means Warp and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including This Means Warp's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–3.8M
best case 29.9M (Among Us)
Games like This Means Warp

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–3.8M copies

≈ $13.3M–$37.0M after Steam's cut

from ~69k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Among Us at ≈ 22.8M–37.0M copies, ≈ $31.3M–$84.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 18k reviews in their first month; the range was 10k to 32k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (7 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Social Deduction + Space, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Social Deduction + 2D + Funny; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ICARUS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$16.4M–$44.2M after Steam's cut $29.9M–$68.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
69k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Among Us
2018
Est. copies
≈ 22.8M–37.0M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$31.3M–$84.0M after Steam's cut $56.8M–$129.3M before Steam's cut
$4.99
749k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerSocial Deduction
Aliens: Fireteam Elite
2021
Est. copies
≈ 674k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.6M–$14.9M after Steam's cut $10.1M–$23.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
27k reviews
Mostly Positive
Co-opShooter
ASTRONEER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.1M–$89.1M after Steam's cut $60.2M–$137.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
139k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOpen World
Empyrion - Galactic Survival
2020
Est. copies
≈ 854k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Mostly Positive
Space Engineers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.3M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.3M–$57.3M after Steam's cut $38.7M–$88.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
135k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceSandbox
The Planet Crafter
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.6M before Steam's cut
$23.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftBase-Building
Surviving Mars
2018
Est. copies
≈ 889k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29k reviews
Mostly Positive

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