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How many copies did Aliens: Fireteam Elite sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 674k–1.1M
$5.6M–$14.9M after Steam's cut $10.1M–$23.0M before Steam's cut
from 27k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Aliens: Fireteam Elite and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Aliens: Fireteam Elite's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–3.1M
best case 9.9M (Halo: The Master Chief Collection)
Games like Aliens: Fireteam Elite

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–3.1M copies

≈ $12.6M–$50.4M after Steam's cut

from ~31k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Halo: The Master Chief Collection at ≈ 7.6M–12.3M copies, ≈ $83.3M–$223.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (6 of 8) and FPS (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Classic, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Halo: The Master Chief Collection
2019
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.3M
8.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$83.3M–$223.9M after Steam's cut $151.4M–$344.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
263k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackFPS
Alien Swarm
2010
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
22k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayCo-op
STAR WARS™ Battlefront™ II
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.3M–$73.4M after Steam's cut $49.7M–$113.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
100k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerShooter
Evolve Stage 2
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionMultiplayer
Alien Swarm: Reactive Drop
2017
Est. copies
≈ 819k–1.3M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24k reviews
Very Positive
Aliens vs. Predator™
2010
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.7M–$15.2M after Steam's cut $10.3M–$23.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
Serious Sam 3: BFE
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.3M after Steam's cut $27.2M–$62.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
Starship Troopers: Extermination
2024
Est. copies
≈ 829k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.4M after Steam's cut $12.4M–$28.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpAction

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