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How many copies did Darkanoid sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 65 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Darkanoid and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Darkanoid's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 668–1k
best case 6k (Star Wars™ Pinball VR)
Games like Darkanoid

A typical game among these

≈ 668–1k copies

≈ $1k–$10k after Steam's cut

from ~37 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Star Wars™ Pinball VR at ≈ 5k–8k copies, ≈ $34k–$90k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 24 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 102.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (8 of 8) and Pinball (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Pinball, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Sci-fi + 3D + Simulation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Piwall
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37 reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayCasual
Space Block Buster
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41 reviews
Positive
VRArcade
Deep Under the Sky
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut
$9.99
59 reviews
Mixed
ArcadePhysics
Star Wars™ Pinball VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$34k–$90k after Steam's cut $61k–$139k before Steam's cut
$24.99
197 reviews
Mixed
SimulationPinball
Things That Bounce and Explode
2021
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$599–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$3.99
22 reviews
Positive
ActionArcade
Pinball Lockdown
2020
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$776–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$5.99
19 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessPinball
Pinball Breeze
2025
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$9.99
17 reviews
Positive
CasualIndie
Racket Pinball
2026
Est. copies
≈ 992–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
$19.99
40 reviews
Positive
Early AccessPinball

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