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How big is Go Kart Run!?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 3k–5k
from 114 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Go Kart Run! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Go Kart Run!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–11.4M
best case 37.2M (Rocket League®)
Games like Go Kart Run!

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–11.4M copies

≈ $24.8M–$59.4M after Steam's cut

from ~100k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rocket League® at ≈ 28.3M–46.0M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (8 of 8) and Automobile Sim (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Competitive.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DiRT Rally 2.0
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Rocket League®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 28.3M–46.0M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
580k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
Assetto Corsa Competizione
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
The Crew™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.0M–$67.2M after Steam's cut $45.5M–$103.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
100k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingOpen World
Forza Horizon 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
F1® 2020
2020
Est. copies
≈ 990k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
DRAWER
2022
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$871–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$3.99
32 reviews
Positive
RacingSports

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