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How many copies did Cascading Failure sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cascading Failure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cascading Failure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 291k–594k
best case 7.7M (Heroes & Generals)
Games like Cascading Failure

A typical game among these

≈ 291k–594k copies

≈ $1.3M–$4.8M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Heroes & Generals at ≈ 5.9M–9.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share RTS (5 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with World War II + FPS.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Heroes & Generals
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.6M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
142k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayWorld War II
AirMech
2018
Est. copies
≈ 330k–537k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
Animal Revolt Battle Simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 170k–277k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$703k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieSandbox
Call to Arms
2018
Est. copies
≈ 734k–1.2M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
24k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyMilitary
Strife®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 239k–388k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMOBA
Silica
2023
Est. copies
≈ 122k–199k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$673k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
RTSMultiplayer
Freeman: Guerrilla Warfare
2019
Est. copies
≈ 359k–583k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
12k reviews
Mixed
StrategyAction
Art of War: Red Tides
2016
Est. copies
≈ 289k–470k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayStrategy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.