How much revenue did Freeman: Guerrilla Warfare make?

$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Freeman: Guerrilla Warfare sell?

Q: How many copies did Freeman: Guerrilla Warfare sell?

359k to 583k copies, based on its 12k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 359k–583k; $2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut; from 12k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Freeman: Guerrilla Warfare and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Freeman: Guerrilla Warfare's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 23.8M–106.2M

best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)

Games like Freeman: Guerrilla Warfare

A typical game among these

≈ 23.8M–106.2M copies

≈ $150.0M–$250.2M after Steam's cut

from ~731k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (6 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2000 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Paladins® 2018	Est. copies ≈ 10.5M–17.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	345k reviews Very Positive	Hero ShooterFree to Play
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 3.8x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Counter-Strike 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	9.9M reviews Very Positive	FPSShooter
War Thunder 2013	Est. copies ≈ 49.7M–80.7M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	786k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege 2015	Est. copies ≈ 76.0M–123.4M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.6M reviews Very Positive	FPSPvP
Arma 3 2013	Est. copies ≈ 18.7M–30.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	296k reviews Very Positive	MilitaryAction
Counter-Strike 2000	Est. copies ≈ 16.6M–26.9M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	262k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionFPS
PAYDAY 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	675k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAction