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wishvane

How many copies did Arma 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15.3M–24.9M
$126.2M–$339.2M after Steam's cut $229.4M–$521.9M before the cut
from 294k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Arma 3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arma 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18.2M–38.5M
best case 664.3M (Counter-Strike 2)
The Shooter genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 18.2M–38.5M copies
≈ $102.5M–$363.6M after Steam's cut
from ~466k reviews
Best case
≈ 506.1M–822.5M copies
Counter-Strike 2
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Shooter (6 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Team-Based + e-sports + Tactical; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2000 to 2022, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 40.0M–64.9M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
768k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 506.1M–822.5M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.7M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
Counter-Strike
2000
Est. copies
≈ 13.6M–22.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$37.3M–$100.2M after Steam's cut $67.7M–$154.1M before the cut
$9.99
261k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionFPS
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 71.1M–115.5M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.5M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$194.6M–$523.2M after Steam's cut $353.8M–$804.9M before the cut
$49.99
466k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Titanfall® 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$61.7M–$165.9M after Steam's cut $112.2M–$255.3M before the cut
$29.99
283k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSMechs
Call of Duty®
2022
Est. copies
≈ 18.7M–30.3M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
777k reviews
Mixed
FPSMultiplayer
Hearts of Iron IV
2016
Est. copies
≈ 14.9M–24.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$204.8M–$550.6M after Steam's cut $372.3M–$847.1M before the cut
$49.99
372k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.