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How many copies did Silica sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 122k–199k
$673k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Silica and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Silica's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.6M
best case 9.3M (Titanfall® 2)
Games like Silica

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–1.6M copies

≈ $4.7M–$14.9M after Steam's cut

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Titanfall® 2 at ≈ 7.1M–11.6M copies, ≈ $58.7M–$158.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share War (5 of 8) and RTS (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Mechs, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Call to Arms
2018
Est. copies
≈ 734k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
24k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyMilitary
Company of Heroes
2006
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Titanfall® 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.6M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$58.7M–$158.0M after Steam's cut $106.8M–$243.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
287k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSMechs
Company of Heroes 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 7.2M–11.6M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$39.4M–$105.8M after Steam's cut $71.6M–$162.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
113k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Heroes & Generals
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.6M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
142k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayWorld War II
Conqueror's Blade
2019
Est. copies
≈ 859k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
30k reviews
Mostly Positive
MedievalTactical
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.6M–$47.3M after Steam's cut $32.0M–$72.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthStrategy
Natural Selection 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 845k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerStrategy

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