How much revenue did Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun make?

$17.6M–$47.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun sell?

Q: How many copies did Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun sell?

1.6M to 2.6M copies, based on its 38k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.6M–2.6M; $17.6M–$47.3M after Steam's cut $32.0M–$72.8M before Steam's cut; from 38k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.9M–4.8M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun

A typical game among these

≈ 2.9M–4.8M copies

≈ $33.9M–$74.9M after Steam's cut

from ~58k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (6 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry FPS + Looter Shooter + Battle Royale; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Evolve Stage 2 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	48k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionMultiplayer
PAYDAY 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	675k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAction
PAYDAY™ The Heist 2011	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	41k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
Hitman: Absolution™ 2012	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.6M after Steam's cut $40.3M–$91.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	64k reviews Very Positive	StealthAction
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 48x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Wildlands 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.4M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $54.5M–$146.6M after Steam's cut $99.2M–$225.6M before Steam's cut	$49.99	115k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldShooter
One-armed robber 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	54k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer
Sniper Elite 4 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.4M–$148.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	63k reviews Very Positive	SniperAction