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How many copies did Overlord II sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 315k–513k
$867k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Overlord II and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Overlord II's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 90k–342k
best case 734k (Tyranny)
Games like Overlord II

A typical game among these

≈ 90k–342k copies

≈ $297k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Tyranny at ≈ 560k–909k copies, ≈ $4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Villain Protagonist (7 of 8) and Dark Fantasy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Legend of Keepers: Career of a Dungeon Manager
2021
Est. copies
≈ 136k–222k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$750k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
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Pixel GraphicsTurn-Based Combat
Iratus: Lord of the Dead
2020
Est. copies
≈ 205k–333k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RPGStrategy
Blood Omen 2: Legacy of Kain
2013
Est. copies
≈ 78k–127k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$150k–$403k after Steam's cut $273k–$621k before Steam's cut
$6.99
1k reviews
Mixed
ActionVampire
Overlord™
2007
Est. copies
≈ 427k–693k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$585k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Villain ProtagonistHack and Slash
My Lovely Daughter
2018
Est. copies
≈ 40k–65k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$165k–$442k after Steam's cut $299k–$681k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Interactive FictionVisual Novel
Overlord™: Raising Hell
2008
Est. copies
≈ 165k–268k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$452k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $823k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAction
Tyranny
2016
Est. copies
≈ 560k–909k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
RPGChoices Matter
Demonheart
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26k–42k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$144k–$386k after Steam's cut $261k–$594k before Steam's cut
$19.99
759 reviews
Very Positive
LGBTQ+Visual Novel

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