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How many copies did Overlord™: Raising Hell sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 165k–268k
$452k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $823k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Overlord™: Raising Hell and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Overlord™: Raising Hell's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–451k
best case 24.1M (DARK SOULS™ III)
Games like Overlord™: Raising Hell

A typical game among these

≈ 13k–451k copies

≈ $82k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Dark Fantasy (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: DARK SOULS™ III at ≈ 18.3M–29.8M copies, ≈ $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 118 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 558.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dark Fantasy (4 of 8) and Third Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Dark Fantasy, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.8M
318x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
441k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Overlord™
2007
Est. copies
≈ 427k–693k
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$585k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Villain ProtagonistHack and Slash
Blood Omen 2: Legacy of Kain
2013
Est. copies
≈ 78k–127k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$150k–$403k after Steam's cut $273k–$621k before Steam's cut
$6.99
1k reviews
Mixed
ActionVampire
Undead Horde 2: Necropolis
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$58k–$156k after Steam's cut $105k–$240k before Steam's cut
$16.99
500 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Overlord II
2009
Est. copies
≈ 315k–513k
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$867k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RPGVillain Protagonist
The Lord of the Rings: Gollum™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 38k–62k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$526k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $956k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
2k reviews
Mixed
AdventureFantasy
Darkness Reborn
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$110 after Steam's cut $74–$169 before Steam's cut
$1.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
RPGVillain Protagonist
Heartless & Dreadful : Return by 72 Hours
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$6.99
65 reviews
Very Positive
Character Action GameSpectacle fighter

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