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How many copies did Overlord™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 427k–693k
$585k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Overlord™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Overlord™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18k–145k
best case 734k (Tyranny)
Games like Overlord™

A typical game among these

≈ 18k–145k copies

≈ $155k–$556k after Steam's cut

from ~897 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Dark Fantasy (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Tyranny at ≈ 560k–909k copies, ≈ $4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 307 reviews in their first month; the range was 227 to 471.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dark Fantasy (3 of 8) and Fantasy (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Blood Omen 2: Legacy of Kain
2013
Est. copies
≈ 78k–127k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$150k–$403k after Steam's cut $273k–$621k before Steam's cut
$6.99
1k reviews
Mixed
ActionVampire
Overlord™: Raising Hell
2008
Est. copies
≈ 165k–268k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$452k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $823k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAction
Paw Patrol: On A Roll!
2018
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$120k–$322k after Steam's cut $217k–$495k before Steam's cut
$29.99
477 reviews
Very Positive
Family FriendlyPlatformer
3dSen PC
2025
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$57k–$154k after Steam's cut $104k–$236k before Steam's cut
$14.99
559 reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerAdventure
Undead Horde 2: Necropolis
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$58k–$156k after Steam's cut $105k–$240k before Steam's cut
$16.99
500 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
OVERLORD: ESCAPE FROM NAZARICK
2022
Est. copies
≈ 13k–22k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$110k–$295k after Steam's cut $199k–$453k before Steam's cut
$29.99
536 reviews
Mixed
ActionMetroidvania
Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 93k–151k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayCasual
Tyranny
2016
Est. copies
≈ 560k–909k
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
RPGChoices Matter

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