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How many copies did Paw Patrol: On A Roll! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–24k
$120k–$322k after Steam's cut $217k–$495k before Steam's cut
from 477 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paw Patrol: On A Roll! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paw Patrol: On A Roll!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.6M–25.9M
best case 129.3M (Terraria)
Games like Paw Patrol: On A Roll!

A typical game among these

≈ 3.6M–25.9M copies

≈ $28.6M–$99.9M after Steam's cut

from ~124k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Platformer (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Terraria at ≈ 98.5M–160.1M copies, ≈ $270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (3 of 8) and Story Rich (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36.2M–58.9M
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
647k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Terraria
2011
Est. copies
≈ 98.5M–160.1M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut $492.0M–$1119.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.6M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox
Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
72k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Ori and the Blind Forest
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackAtmospheric
Brawlhalla
2017
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
413k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
A Hat in Time
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.2M–$40.8M after Steam's cut $27.6M–$62.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Cute3D Platformer

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