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How many copies did BitBattle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 719–1k
$393–$1k after Steam's cut $715–$2k before Steam's cut
from 29 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BitBattle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BitBattle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 99k–182k
best case 769k (Neon Abyss)
Games like BitBattle

A typical game among these

≈ 99k–182k copies

≈ $673k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Neon Abyss at ≈ 586k–952k copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 691 reviews in their first month; the range was 442 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (5 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Platformer, priced around $31. The breakout hits carry Loot + Procedural Generation + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 167k–271k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
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≈ 72k–118k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Replay ValueRogue-like
Neon Abyss
2020
Est. copies
≈ 586k–952k
7.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut $9.2M–$21.0M before Steam's cut
$31.49
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Very Positive
Boring Man - Online Tactical Stickman Combat
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Free
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Side ScrollerPixel Graphics
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≈ 110k–179k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Warhammer 40,000: Shootas, Blood & Teef
2022
Est. copies
≈ 79k–128k
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PvPAdventure
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2D PlatformerPlatformer
Mega Man Legacy Collection 2
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Very Positive
ActionPlatformer

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