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How many copies did Geometric Feel the Beats sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$611–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 45 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Geometric Feel the Beats and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Geometric Feel the Beats's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 220–7k
best case 41k (The Polynomial - Space of the music)
Games like Geometric Feel the Beats

A typical game among these

≈ 220–7k copies

≈ $223–$10k after Steam's cut

from ~13 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Polynomial - Space of the music at ≈ 32k–51k copies, ≈ $61k–$163k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 15.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (6 of 8) and Rhythm (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Rhythm, priced around $7.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
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23x vs typical
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RhythmFast-Paced
The Polynomial - Space of the music
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40x vs typical
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5.9x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$4.99
74 reviews
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