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How many copies did Ship of Fools sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 156k–253k
$943k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ship of Fools and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ship of Fools's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.9M–16.0M
best case 29.7M (Don't Starve Together)
Games like Ship of Fools

A typical game among these

≈ 3.9M–16.0M copies

≈ $27.3M–$141.5M after Steam's cut

from ~155k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Don't Starve Together at ≈ 22.6M–36.8M copies, ≈ $93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 83k reviews in their first month; the range was 42k to 110k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (7 of 8) and Action Roguelike (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22.6M–36.8M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
544k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
119k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSingleplayer
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
2014
Est. copies
≈ 25.8M–41.9M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut $193.0M–$439.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
460k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Gunfire Reborn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
104k reviews
Very Positive
ELDEN RING NIGHTREIGN
2025
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$52.3M–$140.5M after Steam's cut $95.0M–$216.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
192k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeOnline Co-Op
Realm of the Mad God Exalt
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsMMORPG

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