How much revenue did ELDEN RING NIGHTREIGN make?

$52.3M–$140.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did ELDEN RING NIGHTREIGN sell?

Q: How many copies did ELDEN RING NIGHTREIGN sell?

4.8M to 7.7M copies, based on its 192k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4.8M–7.7M; $52.3M–$140.5M after Steam's cut $95.0M–$216.2M before Steam's cut; from 192k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ELDEN RING NIGHTREIGN and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ELDEN RING NIGHTREIGN's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 350k–378k

best case 3.4M (Gunfire Reborn)

Games like ELDEN RING NIGHTREIGN

A typical game among these

≈ 350k–378k copies

≈ $3.9M–$6.5M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Gunfire Reborn at ≈ 2.6M–4.2M copies, ≈ $14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 739 to 63k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (6 of 8) and Action Roguelike (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Rogue-lite + FPS, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Rogue-lite + FPS + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Mortal Shell 2021	Est. copies ≈ 300k–488k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	12k reviews Mixed	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
NECROPOLIS: BRUTAL EDITION 2016	Est. copies ≈ 194k–315k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	5k reviews Mixed	Souls-likeAction Roguelike
Archvale 2021	Est. copies ≈ 60k–97k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $246k–$662k after Steam's cut $447k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Achilles: Legends Untold 2023	Est. copies ≈ 68k–110k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $466k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $847k–$1.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Co-opDark Fantasy
Windblown 2024	Est. copies ≈ 258k–419k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	10k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessAction Roguelike
SWORN 2025	Est. copies ≈ 128k–208k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$30.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessRogue-lite
Gunfire Reborn 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M 9.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	104k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-lite FPS
Returnal™ 2023	Est. copies ≈ 276k–448k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.6M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	11k reviews Very Positive	ActionBullet Hell