How much revenue did Mortal Shell make?

$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mortal Shell sell?

Q: How many copies did Mortal Shell sell?

300k to 488k copies, based on its 12k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 300k–488k; $2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut; from 12k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mortal Shell and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mortal Shell's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 25.2M–38.1M

best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)

Games like Mortal Shell

A typical game among these

≈ 25.2M–38.1M copies

≈ $285.2M–$883.9M after Steam's cut

from ~713k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 347k reviews in their first month; the range was 268k to 836k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Souls-like (5 of 8) and Fantasy (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
ELDEN RING 2022	Est. copies ≈ 28.7M–46.6M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut $861.1M–$1959.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	1.2M reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeOpen World
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim 2011	Est. copies ≈ 20.1M–32.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.9M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	318k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
Hollow Knight 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.5M–31.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	566k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered 2015	Est. copies ≈ 43.8M–71.2M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	898k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG
Black Myth: Wukong 2024	Est. copies ≈ 30.1M–48.9M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	1.2M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MythologyAction RPG
DARK SOULS™ III 2016	Est. copies ≈ 18.3M–29.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut	$59.99	441k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 10.3M–16.7M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $169.4M–$455.5M after Steam's cut $308.0M–$700.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	357k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Souls-likeDifficult
Baldur's Gate 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 21.3M–34.6M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	859k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGCharacter Customization