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How many copies did Residual sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 794–1k
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
from 32 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Residual and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Residual's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 104k–196k
best case 498k (Webbed)
Games like Residual

A typical game among these

≈ 104k–196k copies

≈ $495k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Webbed at ≈ 380k–617k copies, ≈ $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 399 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (6 of 8) and Exploration (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Physics, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Physics + Cute + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

INMOST
2020
Est. copies
≈ 183k–297k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$753k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePixel Graphics
Wuppo: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
HAAK
2022
Est. copies
≈ 87k–142k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$432k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $786k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerMetroidvania
ANTONBLAST
2024
Est. copies
≈ 117k–189k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$641k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D Platformer2D
Leap Year
2024
Est. copies
≈ 80k–129k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$109k–$294k after Steam's cut $199k–$452k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationPrecision Platformer
Will You Snail?
2022
Est. copies
≈ 70k–114k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$213k–$572k after Steam's cut $387k–$880k before Steam's cut
$10.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Artificial IntelligencePrecision Platformer
Webbed
2021
Est. copies
≈ 380k–617k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D PlatformerCute
Hoa
2021
Est. copies
≈ 78k–128k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$323k–$870k after Steam's cut $588k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
2D PlatformerRelaxing

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