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How many copies did Rollerdrome sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 57k–92k
$467k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $850k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rollerdrome and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rollerdrome's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–2.9M
best case 9.2M (theHunter: Call of the Wild™)
Games like Rollerdrome

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–2.9M copies

≈ $9.5M after Steam's cut

from ~45k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: theHunter: Call of the Wild™ at ≈ 7.0M–11.4M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 18k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (3 of 8) and FPS (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hunting + Open World.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Card GameMultiplayer

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