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How many copies did Rinlo sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 794–1k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
from 32 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rinlo and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rinlo's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 52k–175k
best case 165k (Syberia: The World Before)
Games like Rinlo

A typical game among these

≈ 52k–175k copies

≈ $527k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Syberia: The World Before at ≈ 125k–204k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 720 reviews in their first month; the range was 544 to 815.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Exploration (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Point & Click, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Riven (1997)
2010
Est. copies
≈ 91k–147k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$149k–$401k after Steam's cut $271k–$617k before Steam's cut
$5.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Quern - Undying Thoughts
2016
Est. copies
≈ 170k–277k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Teslagrad
2013
Est. copies
≈ 157k–254k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$430k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $782k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Submachine: Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 36k–59k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$249k–$670k after Steam's cut $453k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
Firmament
2023
Est. copies
≈ 41k–66k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$393k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $714k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
PuzzleAdventure
Syberia: The World Before
2022
Est. copies
≈ 125k–204k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureStory Rich
Stacking
2012
Est. copies
≈ 117k–191k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$322k–$866k after Steam's cut $586k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Syberia: The World Before - Prologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 34k–56k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventurePuzzle

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