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How many copies did Syberia: The World Before - Prologue sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 34k–56k
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Syberia: The World Before - Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Syberia: The World Before - Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.5M–7.1M
best case 8.8M (It Takes Two)
Games like Syberia: The World Before - Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 3.5M–7.1M copies

≈ $38.1M–$99.9M after Steam's cut

from ~132k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: It Takes Two at ≈ 6.7M–10.9M copies, ≈ $73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 69k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Puzzle, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.6M–$79.6M after Steam's cut $53.8M–$122.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
89k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
It Takes Two
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
270k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
108k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
OneShot
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
65k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichPixel Graphics
Rise of the Tomb Raider™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$53.7M–$144.2M after Steam's cut $97.5M–$221.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
156k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Stray
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut $66.5M–$151.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
179k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsAdventure

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