How much revenue did Stray make?

$36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Stray sell?

Q: How many copies did Stray sell?

4.4M to 7.2M copies, based on its 179k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4.4M–7.2M; $36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut $66.5M–$151.3M before Steam's cut; from 179k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Stray and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Stray's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 537k–1.1M

best case 1.5M (Nine Sols)

Games like Stray

A typical game among these

≈ 537k–1.1M copies

≈ $2.1M–$7.9M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Nine Sols at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $9.4M–$25.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 6k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Anime (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
NEKOPARA Vol. 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 535k–870k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeSexual Content
NEKOPARA Vol. 1 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HentaiAnime
Desperados III 2020	Est. copies ≈ 413k–671k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	17k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Real Time TacticsStrategy
The Cat Lady 2013	Est. copies ≈ 398k–648k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $985k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$8.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Horror Story Rich
Nine Sols 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.4M–$25.2M after Steam's cut $17.0M–$38.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	46k reviews Very Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like
NEKOPARA Vol. 3 2017	Est. copies ≈ 414k–672k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HentaiSexual Content
A Space for the Unbound 2023	Est. copies ≈ 196k–318k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichPixel Graphics
Night in the Woods 2017	Est. copies ≈ 699k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	20k reviews Very Positive	Story RichAdventure