How much revenue did Desperados III make?

$4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Desperados III sell?

Q: How many copies did Desperados III sell?

413k to 671k copies, based on its 17k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 413k–671k; $4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut; from 17k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Desperados III and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Desperados III's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 268k–1.4M

best case 1.7M (One-armed robber)

Games like Desperados III

A typical game among these

≈ 268k–1.4M copies

≈ $2.3M–$11.9M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: One-armed robber at ≈ 1.3M–2.2M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Tactical (5 of 8) and Real Time Tactics (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Heist + Co-op.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Shadow Tactics: Aiko's Choice 2021	Est. copies ≈ 120k–196k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $662k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Real Time TacticsStrategy
Aliens: Dark Descent 2023	Est. copies ≈ 469k–763k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.2M–$13.9M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	19k reviews Very Positive	StrategyAction
Partisans 1941 2020	Est. copies ≈ 218k–353k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	9k reviews Very Positive	StrategyReal Time Tactics
One-armed robber 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	54k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Commandos: Behind Enemy Lines 2007	Est. copies ≈ 256k–416k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $352k–$946k after Steam's cut $639k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	4k reviews Very Positive	StrategyStealth
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $17.6M–$47.3M after Steam's cut $32.0M–$72.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	38k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StealthStrategy
Shadow Gambit: The Cursed Crew 2023	Est. copies ≈ 164k–266k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	7k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRPG