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How many copies did Submachine: Legacy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 36k–59k
$249k–$670k after Steam's cut $453k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Submachine: Legacy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Submachine: Legacy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 784k–1.6M
best case 1.6M (Sally Face - Episode One)
Games like Submachine: Legacy

A typical game among these

≈ 784k–1.6M copies

≈ $3.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sally Face - Episode One at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Point & Click (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Psychological Horror, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sally Face - Episode One
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Deponia
2012
Est. copies
≈ 930k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePoint & Click
Gorogoa
2017
Est. copies
≈ 717k–1.2M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleHand-drawn
Machinarium
2009
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Point & ClickPuzzle
Bomb Bowling 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 346–562
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$475–$1k after Steam's cut $863–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Positive
PuzzlePhysics
Fran Bow
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
A Little to the Left
2022
Est. copies
≈ 478k–777k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
Cube Escape: Paradox
2018
Est. copies
≈ 373k–606k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleFree to Play

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