How much revenue did Machinarium make?

$7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Machinarium sell?

Q: How many copies did Machinarium sell?

1.3M to 2.1M copies, based on its 21k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.3M–2.1M; $7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.0M before Steam's cut; from 21k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Machinarium and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Machinarium's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–1.6M

best case 3.8M (GRIS)

Games like Machinarium

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–1.6M copies

≈ $3.0M–$5.9M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: GRIS at ≈ 2.9M–4.8M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 15k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Bowling (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Beautiful + Female Protagonist, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Candy gun 2021	Est. copies ≈ 124–202 too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $340–$918 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before Steam's cut	$9.99	5 reviews 5 user reviews	Turn-Based TacticsMatch 3
Dorfromantik 2022	Est. copies ≈ 735k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut	$13.99	30k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleRelaxing
Draw & Guess 2021	Est. copies ≈ 874k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut	$4.99	35k reviews Very Positive	PartyMultiplayer
Firework 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	44k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorIndie
GRIS 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	96k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	BeautifulAtmospheric
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley 2023	Est. copies ≈ 982k–1.6M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut	$11.99	40k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PsychologicalDark Comedy
Sally Face - Episode One 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut	$2.99	30k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story Rich Psychological Horror
Bomb Bowling 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 346–562 too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $475–$1k after Steam's cut $863–$2k before Steam's cut	$4.99	12 reviews Positive	PuzzlePhysics