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How many copies did A Little to the Left sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 478k–777k
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
from 19k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Little to the Left and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Little to the Left's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 290k–384k
best case 1.9M (PowerWash Simulator)
Games like A Little to the Left

A typical game among these

≈ 290k–384k copies

≈ $971k–$3.0M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PowerWash Simulator at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 778 reviews in their first month; the range was 321 to 24k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Wholesome (6 of 8) and Cozy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + First-Person, priced around $18. The breakout hits carry First-Person + 3D + Sandbox; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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