How much revenue did Deponia make?

$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Deponia sell?

Q: How many copies did Deponia sell?

930k to 1.5M copies, based on its 15k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 930k–1.5M; $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.6M before Steam's cut; from 15k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deponia and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Deponia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 25.5M–112.1M

best case 133.2M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)

Games like Deponia

A typical game among these

≈ 25.5M–112.1M copies

≈ $403.2M–$481.9M after Steam's cut

from ~854k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (2 of 4), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.5M–164.9M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (2 of 4) and Third Person (2 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2016, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 52 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy 2015	Est. copies ≈ 101.5M–164.9M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.1M reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Garry's Mod 2006	Est. copies ≈ 80.0M–130.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.3M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxModdable
DARK SOULS™ III 2016	Est. copies ≈ 18.3M–29.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut	$59.99	441k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Borderlands 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 19.8M–32.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut $395.1M–$898.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	313k reviews Very Positive	LootShooter