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How many copies did Mighty Goose sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 27k–44k
$147k–$396k after Steam's cut $268k–$609k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mighty Goose and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mighty Goose's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10.8M–27.9M
best case 88.0M (Left 4 Dead 2)
Games like Mighty Goose

A typical game among these

≈ 10.8M–27.9M copies

≈ $95.8M–$149.6M after Steam's cut

from ~353k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Left 4 Dead 2 at ≈ 67.0M–108.9M copies, ≈ $184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (5 of 8) and Platformer (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Co-op, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Zombies + FPS + Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.5M–15.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
Brawlhalla
2017
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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413k reviews
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Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Cuphead
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$41.9M–$112.7M after Steam's cut $76.2M–$173.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
222k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DifficultCartoon
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Rocket League®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 28.3M–46.0M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
580k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
206k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG

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