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How many copies did Space Battle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 843–1k
$461–$1k after Steam's cut $839–$2k before Steam's cut
from 34 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Space Battle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Space Battle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–18k
best case 270k (Minishoot' Adventures)
Games like Space Battle

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–18k copies

≈ $5k–$149k after Steam's cut

from ~201 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Minishoot' Adventures at ≈ 206k–335k copies, ≈ $849k–$2.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 146 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Bullet Hell (6 of 8) and Exploration (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Twin Stick Shooter + Bullet Hell, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Cute + Metroidvania + RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Beacon
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
201 reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeProcedural Generation
Minishoot' Adventures
2024
Est. copies
≈ 206k–335k
41x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$849k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Mustache in Hell
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
$2.99
73 reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
Beat Hazard 3
2024
Est. copies
≈ 17k–27k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$93k–$249k after Steam's cut $169k–$383k before Steam's cut
$19.99
680 reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic-Based Procedural Generation
The Knight Witch
2022
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$132k–$356k after Steam's cut $240k–$547k before Steam's cut
$19.99
970 reviews
Mostly Positive
MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
ITTA
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$44k–$119k after Steam's cut $80k–$183k before Steam's cut
$14.99
432 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Brave survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$2.99
57 reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeExploration
Hadley's Run: A Starship Saga
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$11.99
47 reviews
Positive
SingleplayerExploration

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