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How many copies did Mustache in Hell sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 73 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mustache in Hell and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mustache in Hell's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 175k–235k
best case 567k (Touhou Luna Nights)
Games like Mustache in Hell

A typical game among these

≈ 175k–235k copies

≈ $293k–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Touhou Luna Nights at ≈ 432k–701k copies, ≈ $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 591 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Bullet Hell (7 of 8) and Action Roguelike (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Bullet Hell, priced around $18. The breakout hits carry Metroidvania + Exploration + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rabi-Ribi
2016
Est. copies
≈ 511k–830k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut
$17.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeMetroidvania
Army of Ruin
2023
Est. copies
≈ 70k–114k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$154k–$413k after Steam's cut $279k–$635k before Steam's cut
$7.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Nordic Ashes: Survivors of Ragnarok
2024
Est. copies
≈ 157k–256k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$432k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $786k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Dungeon Munchies
2022
Est. copies
≈ 179k–291k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$985k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieAction
Minishoot' Adventures
2024
Est. copies
≈ 206k–335k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$849k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Picayune Dreams
2023
Est. copies
≈ 116k–188k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$159k–$427k after Steam's cut $289k–$657k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellPsychedelic
Touhou Luna Nights
2019
Est. copies
≈ 432k–701k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaDifficult
Necrosmith
2022
Est. copies
≈ 133k–216k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$109k–$294k after Steam's cut $199k–$453k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesAction Roguelike

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.