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How big is Verse Surf?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 1k–2k
from 55 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Verse Surf and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Verse Surf's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–3.0M
best case 2.6M (Party Animals)
Games like Verse Surf

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–3.0M copies

≈ $16.1M–$20.9M after Steam's cut

from ~63k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Party Game (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Party Animals at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 37 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 22k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Party Game (4 of 8) and Board Game (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Co-op, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gang Beasts
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyPhysics
Pummel Party
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFunny
Medium: The Psychic Party Game
2021
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$69–$182 after Steam's cut $125–$280 before Steam's cut
$9.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
Casual2D
Party Animals
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
79k reviews
Mostly Positive
MultiplayerFunny
Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty
ACT IT OUT XL! A Charades Party Game
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
$11.99
63 reviews
Mostly Positive
Local MultiplayerParty
The Chatters Show
2021
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$34–$91 after Steam's cut $62–$140 before Steam's cut
$4.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
CasualTrivia
RiffTrax: The Game
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut
$9.99
241 reviews
Very Positive
CasualBoard Game

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