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How many copies did Suicide Guy VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$59k before Steam's cut
from 208 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Suicide Guy VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Suicide Guy VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 65k–247k
best case 38.8M (Portal 2)
Games like Suicide Guy VR

A typical game among these

≈ 65k–247k copies

≈ $180k–$621k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and First-Person (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + First-Person, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Female Protagonist + Dark Humor + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
168x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
72x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Gravitas
2019
Est. copies
≈ 206k–334k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayPuzzle
Supraland
2019
Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
Quantum Conundrum
2012
Est. copies
≈ 136k–221k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$337k–$905k after Steam's cut $612k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$8.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
Suicide Guy
2017
Est. copies
≈ 117k–191k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$193k–$520k after Steam's cut $351k–$799k before Steam's cut
$5.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyAction
ChromaGun
2016
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$98k–$263k after Steam's cut $178k–$404k before Steam's cut
$12.99
658 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Suicide Guy: Sleepin' Deeply
2018
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$123k before Steam's cut
$5.99
596 reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieAction

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