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How many copies did Quantum Conundrum sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 136k–221k
$337k–$905k after Steam's cut $612k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Quantum Conundrum and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Quantum Conundrum's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 632k–898k
best case 38.8M (Portal 2)
Games like Quantum Conundrum

A typical game among these

≈ 632k–898k copies

≈ $2.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Puzzle-Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Supraland
2019
Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Refunct
2015
Est. copies
≈ 852k–1.4M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$701k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$2.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Parkour3D Platformer
It Takes Two
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
270k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
The Last Campfire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 516k–839k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleAdventure
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.5M–15.4M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer

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