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How many copies did Breaking Lockdown sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 942–2k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 38 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Breaking Lockdown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Breaking Lockdown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.4M–9.5M
best case 16.6M (Lethal Company)
Games like Breaking Lockdown

A typical game among these

≈ 4.4M–9.5M copies

≈ $28.1M–$92.7M after Steam's cut

from ~165k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Lethal Company at ≈ 12.7M–20.6M copies, ≈ $34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 50k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 178k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Survival Horror (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $10.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Content Warning
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$7.99
164k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
Escape the Backrooms
2025
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.4M–$30.6M after Steam's cut $20.7M–$47.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
167k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Lethal Company
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12.7M–20.6M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut $63.3M–$144.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
511k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–12.9M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
321k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Poppy Playtime
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
143k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFree to Play
Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction
The Outlast Trials
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.7M–$82.5M after Steam's cut $55.8M–$126.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
112k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Five Nights at Freddy's: Security Breach
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$19.1M–$51.4M after Steam's cut $34.8M–$79.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
70k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorSingleplayer

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