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How many copies did Risk of Rain Returns sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 712k–1.2M
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut
from 29k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Risk of Rain Returns and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Risk of Rain Returns's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–3.4M
best case 13.9M (R.E.P.O.)
Games like Risk of Rain Returns

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–3.4M copies

≈ $8.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: R.E.P.O. at ≈ 10.6M–17.2M copies, ≈ $29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 63k reviews in their first month; the range was 21k to 103k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (5 of 8) and Action Roguelike (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Realm of the Mad God Exalt
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsMMORPG
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
9.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Gunfire Reborn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
104k reviews
Very Positive
R.E.P.O.
2025
Est. copies
≈ 10.6M–17.2M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
427k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Streets of Rogue
2019
Est. copies
≈ 665k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.8M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Deep Rock Galactic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
9.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
380k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DwarfCo-op
Risk of Rain (2013)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$13.9M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
嗜血印 Bloody Spell
2022
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.2M–$27.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
NuditySexual Content

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