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How many copies did Chess Knights: Viking Lands sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 71 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Chess Knights: Viking Lands and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chess Knights: Viking Lands's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 407–2k
best case 1.1M (Chants of Sennaar)
Games like Chess Knights: Viking Lands

A typical game among these

≈ 407–2k copies

≈ $683–$6k after Steam's cut

from ~34 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Chants of Sennaar at ≈ 869k–1.4M copies, ≈ $4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 2k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Point & Click, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Adventure + Singleplayer + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ragnarok Chess
2021
Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$502–$1k after Steam's cut $913–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
37 reviews
Mixed
SportsMythology
Chants of Sennaar
2023
Est. copies
≈ 869k–1.4M
1031x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleAdventure
Hydra Slayer
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$5.99
49 reviews
Positive
Traditional RoguelikePuzzle
Hoards of Glory
2020
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$612–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
18 reviews
Positive
CasualTabletop
Wilderplace
2022
Est. copies
≈ 843–1k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$12.99
34 reviews
Positive
ExplorationMinimalist
Magic Bubbles
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$81–$220 after Steam's cut $148–$338 before Steam's cut
$3.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
LogicMatch 3
Howl
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
$9.99
83 reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based StrategyStrategy
Beasties of Greenhollow
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$239–$640 after Steam's cut $434–$985 before Steam's cut
$4.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
StrategyPuzzle

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