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How many copies did Ragnarok Chess sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 918–1k
$502–$1k after Steam's cut $913–$2k before Steam's cut
from 37 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ragnarok Chess and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ragnarok Chess's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 213k–489k
best case 714k (WRC 7 FIA World Rally Championship)
Games like Ragnarok Chess

A typical game among these

≈ 213k–489k copies

≈ $1.8M–$4.5M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Turn-Based (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: WRC 7 FIA World Rally Championship at ≈ 544k–884k copies, ≈ $3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based (4 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Automobile Sim, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
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Tactical RPGTurn-Based Tactics
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Open WorldMartial Arts
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics
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2017
Est. copies
≈ 544k–884k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
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16k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Blood Bowl 2: Legendary Edition (Classic)
2017
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≈ 316k–513k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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2021
Est. copies
≈ 146k–238k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
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6k reviews
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Football, Tactics & Glory
2018
Est. copies
≈ 133k–217k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
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Turn-Based CombatFootball (Soccer)
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Est. copies
≈ 621k–1.0M
1.6x vs typical
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Free
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Mostly Positive
BasketballSports

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