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How many copies did King Arthur: Knight's Tale sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 188k–305k
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid King Arthur: Knight's Tale and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including King Arthur: Knight's Tale's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 465k–504k
best case 1.6M (Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader)
Games like King Arthur: Knight's Tale

A typical game among these

≈ 465k–504k copies

≈ $5.7M–$7.7M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 10k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Combat (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Character Customization + Cinematic, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Cinematic + Story Rich + Romance; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Last Spell
2023
Est. copies
≈ 341k–555k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySingleplayer
Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
48k reviews
Very Positive
Character CustomizationCinematic
Mordheim: City of the Damned
2015
Est. copies
≈ 413k–671k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Mostly Positive
TacticalGames Workshop
Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$25.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerAction RPG
Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters
2022
Est. copies
≈ 368k–597k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut
$44.99
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
Warhammer 40KTurn-Based Strategy
Gloomhaven
2021
Est. copies
≈ 400k–650k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpDark Fantasy
The Age of Decadence
2015
Est. copies
≈ 198k–322k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$818k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatChoices Matter
The Banner Saga 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 158k–257k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
RPGStrategy

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