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How many copies did Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 368k–597k
$4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut
from 15k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 199k–626k
best case 1.6M (Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader)
Games like Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters

A typical game among these

≈ 199k–626k copies

≈ $3.8M–$9.2M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 10k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (5 of 8) and Turn-Based (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Character Customization + Cinematic, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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