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How many copies did Shuffs sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25–40
$7–$18 after Steam's cut $12–$28 before Steam's cut
from 1 review (1 user reviews)
Only 1 review so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shuffs and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shuffs's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 490k–2.7M
best case 16.5M (Portal)
Games like Shuffs

A typical game among these

≈ 490k–2.7M copies

≈ $2.2M–$16.8M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal at ≈ 12.6M–20.5M copies, ≈ $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle-Platformer (7 of 8) and Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

LIMBO
2011
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before Steam's cut
$12.49
62k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerIndie
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Trine Enchanted Edition
2009
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerBeautiful
Webbed
2021
Est. copies
≈ 380k–617k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D PlatformerCute
Defy Gravity Extended
2016
Est. copies
≈ 355k–576k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$194k–$522k after Steam's cut $353k–$803k before Steam's cut
$1.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
Supraland
2019
Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
Super Bunny Man
2023
Est. copies
≈ 309k–502k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerSandbox
Trine 2: Complete Story
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.6M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer

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