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How many copies did Girls Memory Card sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 422–685
$347–$932 after Steam's cut $631–$1k before Steam's cut
from 17 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Girls Memory Card and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Girls Memory Card's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 601k–1.4M
best case 2.0M (Yu-Gi-Oh! Duel Links)
Games like Girls Memory Card

A typical game among these

≈ 601k–1.4M copies

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Yu-Gi-Oh! Duel Links at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 27 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 5k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (8 of 8) and Trading Card Game (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Anime.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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1.9x vs typical
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too small to compare
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Card BattlerDeckbuilding

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.